Corruption and violence are the axis of some elections that could overturn Mexican politics.
Mexico celebrates a historic presidential election on Sunday because for the first time in decades they could give the key to the Palacio de los Pinos on the left, thanks to Andrés Manuel López Obrador, a veteran of Mexican politics who, according to all the surveys of the last year , has no rival at the polls.
The latest polls give almost 50% of the vote, a figure that guarantees victory in an electoral system that is only one round.
However, López Obrador knows well that forecasts, however tight they may be, may not be met. In 2006 he already tried to reach the presidency in a poll that escaped him by a handful of votes. Six years later he tried again. Again he stayed in second place, behind Enrique Peña Nieto.
In his third attempt, López Obrador competes with a leftist coalition, led by the National Regeneration Movement (MORENA) and also formed by the Labor and Social Encounter Party, under the name Together We Will Do History.
The Party of the Democratic Revolution (PRD) is the only one capable of harming him. This formation of the left has opted to join the coalition led by Ricardo Anaya, in which his party, the PAN, and Movimiento Ciudadano, both conservatives, and the PRD itself coexist. Anaya figures as second in all the polls with around 25% of the electoral preferences.
The third in discord is José Antonio Meade, he is the candidate of the PRI. Your options, with around 20% of the votes, are scarce.
First leftist president in decades
If these forecasts are confirmed, López Obrador would become Mexico's first leftist president in decades.
"It will be a peaceful, orderly but profound revolution, I would say radical," he declared at the end of the electoral campaign, held on Wednesday night.
On the social side, it has promised to freeze fuel prices, set limits for the prices of agricultural products and increase salaries, pensions and scholarships.
Violent campaign
Mexico has closed its bloodiest election campaign, with some 130 politicians murdered, including five members of MORENA, López Obrador's party, who were shot dead in a rural area of Oaxaca earlier this week.
One of the causes of this wave of violence is that this Sunday Mexicans will not only elect a new head of state, they will also renew about 3,400 public positions, including mayors, governors, deputies and senators, lower levels where the ties between politics and organized crime are even narrower.