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UKRAINE WAR Washington, March 14 (EFE) .- Ukraine's economy could fall by up to 35% this year, due to mass migration and the destruction of its productive capacity, if the Russian invasion becomes a "protracted conflict", losing this Monday the International Monetary Fund (IMF). The international organization collects these forecasts in its new report on the state of the Ukrainian economy, in which it recognizes the "enormous uncertainty". “The (Ukrainian) economy is estimated to enter a deep recession this year,” the document said, citing the sharp contraction in demand and the completion of supply chains, among other things. In the event that the war ends in the short term, the Fund's estimates point, "at least", to a 10% drop in gross domestic product (GDP) this year. However, beware that with a "protracted conflict" the annual contraction in Ukraine could be much higher, between 25% and 35%, a range already seen in other countries immersed in recent wars such as Syria or Yemen. “A growing loss of physical capital and mass migration could result in an even more significant contraction, with a collapse in trade flows, a further decline in tax collection capacity, and a further deterioration in its fiscal and external position,” said. The Executive Board of the organization made last week the disbursement of 1,400 million dollars in emergency aid to Ukraine. The amount approved by the IMF matches that requested by the Ukrainian government and seeks to "mitigate the economic impact" of the war initiated by Russia. The refugees who have fled from Ukraine since the outbreak of the war, on February 24, already reach 2.8 million, of which more than half (1.7 million) arrived in neighboring Poland, according to figures updated daily by the UN Refugee Agency (UNHCR). The rest of Ukraine's neighboring countries continue to receive this flow of refugees and, among them, 255,000 arrived in Hungary and 204,000 in Slovakia, due to a conflict that has also caused more than two million internally displaced persons. Link: https://holanews.com/la-economia-de-ucrania-puede-caer-un-35-en-2022-si-la-guerra-se-alarga-segun-el-fmi/

30% of young people mistreat animals, say studies. There are signs that alert us to the psychological profile of people who mistreat animals, even these signs help us prevent family violence. People who mistreat animals often have antisocial personality disorder, asocial traits and substance abuse (in the case of adults), says a study published in the Journal of the American Academy of Psychiatry. The same study indicates that half of people with this type of personality engage in sadistic behavior, and if they commit this type of act before the age of 10, the prognosis is worse, even committing crimes. Case. One of the dogs rescued in the Las Cumbres Ceibos case, Guayaquil. What do psychologists say? “A characteristic of people who mistreat animals is that they are individuals who grow up in families or environments in which violent behaviors directed at people weaker than them, for example, the elderly, children or pets, are developed. As individuals experience abuse from childhood, they become convinced that these are normal events”, explains psychologist Isabel Parra. Some studies also show that these individuals are prone to violence and are stimulated by it. “They develop a mental pathology that feeds on violent events, they find satisfaction when they mistreat, be it a person or an animal, the fact of mistreating them generates a momentary calm. It is decor, they are existential voids that unfortunately these individuals fill with violence”, says the expert. They are autocratic people. Alan Felthous, a psychologist who participated in the research published by the magazine, concluded that “animal abusers are people who want to demonstrate power and authority and act against weaker victims. They are authoritarian people, who do not usually listen to the opinions of others and are prone to giving orders”. These individuals have anti-democratic beliefs and tend to direct violence towards weak victims or "scapegoats", in order to appear strong and feared. They are cold and calculating. For Juan Armando Corbin, organizational psychologist, people who are capable of mistreating animals are selfish people. "They only think about themselves and do not connect emotionally with other people or with animals," he emphasizes. "Selfishness is linked to any type of abuse, that is why an animal abuser can leave a puppy dumped in the middle of the road without any remorse," adds the specialist. Link: https://www.metroecuador.com.ec/noticias/2022/03/14/como-es-el-perfil-psicologico-de-una-persona-que-maltrata-animales/

An update not only aesthetic of a model that lasts over time: a passenger seat, LED-type lights and a four-speed automatic transmission with curious handling are added The keyless system allows you to start the motorcycle just by carrying the key in your pocket In the world of motorcycles, even in the competitive segment of scooters, retro or vintage designs are very much in fashion. Proof of this is that Honda has given a new meaning to a model that, due to its simplicity, image and mechanical configuration, has a very special charm. Indeed, the Super Cub C125 is a rare bird that Honda has updated just enough to remain authentic and original, for those who want to get around town in a personal and stylish way. Of course, dispensing with certain comforts. In this way, it stands out with its attractive matte gray color and a passenger seat upholstered in a deep red and mounted on the rear wheel fender. Another original detail is that it lacks a clutch lever, despite the fact that it has a four-speed gearbox and two clutches, a feature that sets it apart from the rest of the bikes in this category. It is equipped with a single-cylinder 9.5 hp engine. It is a standard power in this type of scooters and enough to carry two passengers. It also has a chain drive, a tubular chassis, a front fork and a pair of shock absorbers on the rear axle. It has 17-inch wheels, with an ABS-assisted front disc brake and a very effective rear drum. And the height to the ground of the saddle is sufficient for any size. All these elements allow more than acceptable stability, safety and comfort in daily use. But here the technical comparison with other similar vehicles ends, since the Super Cub C125 is much more original. Thus, it has a 4-speed gearbox that is activated by a double cam housed on the left side, next to the footrest, when the normal thing in this type of vehicle would be a variator. When we step on the lever downwards, of the toe-heel type, we are simply engaging. If we press a little more, we will engage the first gear. For the rest of the marches we must use the heel. It may seem complicated, but it only requires it and that happens after a little driving. Any error in this operation is immediately corrected by the second clutch. The pronounced retro style means that we must do without a central platform. There is also no space under the seat to store a helmet. Honda has left nothing to chance in modernizing this classic vehicle. It has LED-type lights and an instrument panel installed on the handlebar fairing that combines analog (speedometer) with digital information. In addition, it also has the keyless system that is activated by simply carrying the key in your pocket. As a whole, the modern Super Cub C125 offers a very neat, yet classic image, which is what it is all about. Suitable for B and A1 license holders, its price is 3,800 euros, a very special market niche for those who know how to appreciate it. Link: https://www.lavanguardia.com/motor/vehiculos/motos/20220314/8106524/nueva-honda-super-cub-c125-moto-iconica-clasicos.html#foto-3

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The economic think tank Europe G warns that risk premiums may “crack” in the face of a rate hike The Russian invasion of Ukraine and its consequences in the form of sanctions are the latest economic shock in a century that has not exactly been without them. The duration of the war seems to be a decisive factor in calculating its impact, but the end of hostilities will not mean an immediate return to normality, according to Josep Oliver, PhD in Economic Sciences from the Autonomous University of Barcelona. “Once the war is over, the reintegration of the Russian economy will take time”, he predicted during the presentation at the Madrid Press Association of the report by the think tank Europe G, Financial imbalances in the Spanish economy 2013-2019, effects of COVID-19 and the impact of the ECB's intervention', of which he is the author. The also professor of Applied Economics believes that the conflict will cause excessive inflation to continue, which increases the pressure on the European Central Bank to withdraw stimuli. Oliver believes that the intervention of the ECB has opened a window of opportunity for Spain to reform its productive structure and reduce its indebtedness, but time is running out. Amidst the growing pressure from the countries of central and northern Europe, Frankfurt's support will not be eternal, and the effects of the end of that monetary anti-crisis umbrella deployed by the ECB may be disastrous for the most indebted countries. "When rates rise, risk premiums will start to crackle," he says. Oliver has stressed that the ECB is caught in the dilemma between high inflation and the risk that growth will stall due to the effects of the war in Ukraine. The conflicting interests of the countries of the south against those of central and northern Europe, which are less indebted, pose a complex set of balances for the body, which must set a uniform monetary policy for a group of countries with very different realities. The study emphasizes that adding all the intervention in the Spanish economy, monetary policy operations have risen from 21% of GDP in 2015 to 72% in the summer of 2021, values "indicative of the extraordinary dependence that stability has on financial institution of Spain from the activism of the ECB”. Another element of vulnerability for the Spanish economy is its excessive dependence on the services sector, higher than the European average, and which not only has not been corrected since the last financial crisis, but has also warned. The expert maintains that despite the deleveraging carried out between 2013 and 2019, the increases caused by the pandemic in private debt, and the unusual records of public debt after covid-19, have placed total public and private debt in the environment of 270% of GDP, only values comparable to those of 2012, in the worst moments of the financial crisis. And those levels are even worse in some southern partners. "Seeing Italy with a public debt of 170% of GDP scares me, because it is not salvageable, it is going back to what we all discussed 10 years ago." Oliver highlights that the situation of families and the private sector is stronger now than in the last crisis, but public debt is "one of the greatest vulnerabilities" in Spain, so it must continue trying to reduce it, which is not simple in a context like the current one. “The accounts of the public sector are going to be affected worse by any compensatory policy, by the drop in income derived from the fact that the GDP is going to grow significantly less and by the increase in spending linked to stagflation via employment subsidies or pension items. spending to reduce the social cost of the crisis. From the point of view of public finances, the immediate future is bad”, he predicts. Link: https://elpais.com/economia/2022-03-10/josep-oliver-una-vez-termine-la-guerra-la-reinsercion-de-la-economia-rusa-tardara.html

Intended for a user with an A2 license, it combines style and ease of driving to enjoy from the first moment The 300cc category is a hotbed of users who come to the 'big bike' either directly or with previous experience with a 125cc. Or simply the most experienced motorcyclists who find the ideal formula that best suits their needs. Hence, most motorcycle brands have one proposal, or more, aimed at this type of public. Honda is no less. The Japanese firm has in the CB300R a model that makes its Neo Sports Café type aesthetic, as the brand itself calls its motorcycles of this style, and good dynamism is part of its attractions. And this 2022 comes with subtle improvements like a new fork and a new clutch. The CB300R exudes an image of a higher category motorcycle | Photo: Honda Details shine throughout the silhouette of the CB300R, just like its big brother the CB1000R. The LED-type lighting and the minimalist finishes such as the round headlight and the stylized rear define an aesthetic that allows it to reflect its own image. The LCD display offers a wealth of information, from the gear engaged to the level of the fuel tank. Within the cycle part, a Showa SFF-BP USD fork stands out with 41-millimeter stanchions compared to the 37-millimeters of the previous version, which offers better absorption of bumps and precision of the front end. In fact it is the same one that assembled the CB650R. The rear monoshock is adjustable in preload to be able to adjust it to the load levels if driving alone or with a companion. Braking is handled by a 296 mm disc brake bitten by a four-piston caliper with radical anchorage, a system that ensures good braking. It has a complete instrument panel and debuts a new fork | Photo: Honda The 286cc single-cylinder engine, now Euro5, offers a power of 22.9 kW (30.7 hp), a figure that, together with a curb weight of 144 kilos, is adequate in a model that is as accessible as it is easy and fun to drive. . One of the novelties of the 2022 version is the adoption of a new slipper clutch that makes the driving experience even smoother. The height of the seat is 799 millimeters, a distance that places it within the reach of most users. The 10-liter tank together with an approved consumption of 3.3 liters per 100 kilometers allow it to offer a range of more than 300 kilometers. Matte black, yellow, blue and red are the colors for the Honda CB500R whose price and arrival date are not yet available. In this sense, it is worth highlighting the financing services offered by Honda such as Honda Finance and others such as Honda Plus to extend the guarantee to five years and Honda Plus Options with which they guarantee a minimum repurchase value by contract after three years. Link: https://neomotor.sport.es/motos/honda-cb300r-estilosa-y-accesible.html

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The fund would be financed with a retention of $0.05 for each box of bananas marketed. Franklin Torres (C), president of the National Federation of Banana Producers of Ecuador (Fenabe), have created a contingency fund and direct purchase of banana bunches from producers to avoid oversupply The banana producers propose to the Government the creation of a contingency fund with their own financing (from the banana producers themselves), through the withholding of $0.05 per box sold to minimize the losses that may be caused by the war between Russia and Ukraine. This alternative was proposed this Tuesday morning by Franklin Torres, president of the National Federation of Banana Producers of Ecuador (Fenabe). The union highlighted that 98% of the bananas that enter the countries at war are of Ecuadorian origin. "Similarly, 42% of the fertilizers come from both countries, which would have an impact in the social and economic sphere due to the food crisis that would be generated in Ecuador and the loss of employment," Fenabe reported in a statement. . Russian and Ukrainian markets already owe more than $33 million to Ecuadorian flower growers due to the war In addition, the direct purchase of bunches from small and medium-sized producers was proposed in order to avoid oversupply and speculation on the price of the fruit. This direct mechanism would benefit producers of less than 50 hectares, up to 35 clusters per hectare would be purchased at a price of $3 each cluster, specified the president of Fenabe, who highlights that with this 2 million clusters would be removed from the market to avoid the oversupply. He added that the guild has already established the logistics and financing for the purchase of bunches. Regarding logistics, Torres explained that for the counting of the bunches in the field, the same reception mechanism was ensured as the current verifiers that receive the boxes, with the accompaniment of a delegate from the MAG and one from Agrocalidad. “These clusters will be directed to all the cities of the country for human consumption and for animal consumption for all cattle, pig, and bovine farms. The payment of clusters would be made by the same company that bought the boxes from each farm last week”, explained the leader. On the contingency fund, it was caused that it would enter a trust managed by two representatives of the producing sector of all the banana provinces of the country, a delegate of the Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock (MAG) and a delegate of the Comptroller. It was added that the mechanism would come into action as soon as there are prices below the minimum support price (PMS) for a box of bananas, which is currently $6.25. However, there were also complaints about the alleged lack of control by the authorities regarding the PMS. Lourdes Cedeño, a banana producer from Guayas, denounced that producers are currently being paid for a box of bananas at only $2.50. "Today, with great concern, I have to tell you that at this moment they are offering $2.50 for a box of bananas, a first class box, with the companies' demands, 44 pounds at $2 or $2.50," expressed Cedeño, who lamented the inaction of the control authorities. Llink: https://www.eluniverso.com/noticias/economia/bananeros-proponen-un-fondo-de-contingencia-para-minimizar-perdidas-por-la-guerra-entre-rusia-y-ucrania-nota/

Until now, it was thought that galloping, along with other forms of movement such as jumping, only developed after mammals appeared on Earth, about 210 million years ago. For all quadrupeds, from horses to lions to giraffes, the gallop is a key form of movement, an essential part of their repertoire of movements while on the move. Galloping is indeed an efficient way to cover great distances, or to put up a fight when the going gets tough and predators are on the prowl. But when exactly did it arise? When and how do animals develop the ability to gallop? According to the most widespread idea, galloping, along with other forms of movement such as jumping, developed just after mammals appeared on Earth, about 210 million years ago. But as Eric McElroy and Michael Granatosky explain in a study just published in the 'Journal of Experimental Biology ', the reality is very different, and the gallop could have developed much earlier, a whopping 475 million years ago. That is, more than 250 million years earlier than previously thought. So it is not something exclusive to mammals. asymmetric gears For the researchers, the gallop is just a specific type of movement that is part of a series of maneuvers known as 'asymmetric gaits', in which the rhythm of the footsteps is distributed unequally. These maneuvers also include jumping (like those of rabbits), the 'crutches' of amphibians when they drag themselves out of the water with their fins, and the 'bateas', which is what fish do when they push themselves with their pelvic fins on the sea and river bottoms. In their study, McElroy and Grantosky explain that, in addition to mammals, there are many other animals that can gallop, like crocodiles, or jump, like some turtles do. Something that made them wonder if animals could have developed the ability to coordinate their limbs independently much earlier than expected. And what they found was that, indeed, the animals 'learned' to carry out asymmetrical marches approximately 472 million years ago, long before life left the seas to conquer the mainland. A custom family tree To reach this conclusion, the researchers reviewed the available scientific literature and created a bespoke family tree, which included mammals, marsupials, monotremes, reptiles, frogs, toads, and fish that are known to be currently capable of doing something. asymmetric gait type. "In total," explains McElroy, "we collected data on 308 species." The two scientists assigned a value of '0' to species that only used regular walking, jogging, and running times, and a score of '1' to those that showed signs of some other asymmetric movement. McElroy and Grantosky then did a series of simulations to find out the probabilities that asymmetrical gaits appeared earlier or later in the evolutionary tree. "It did not take us months to solve all the problems of the analysis -continues the researcher- but we discovered that it is most likely that about 472 million years ago, the first ancestors of almost all modern animals, including fish, can already move with some type of asymmetric gait prototype. It is unknown if these primitive animals used 'crutches' or if they jumped across the seabed, but there is no doubt that they were already capable of asymmetrically coordinating their limbs to propel themselves. A real surprise, furthermore, was discovering that some current creatures, such as lizards, salamanders, toads and even elephants, have lost the ability to jump and gallop, and this despite having ancestors in their family tree that were capable. to carry out these movements. Therefore, the ability to jump and gallop is not unique to mammals. Almost all animals alive today have ancestors that were capable of asymmetrical movement, although some lost it at some point in their evolutionary line. They may have lost the nerve to coordinate these maneuvers, or become too big, or too slow, to carry them out. In any case, we have all inherited the ability to coordinate asymmetric movements from some ancient fish that propelled itself across the sea floor with its fins long before any species set foot, or fin, on land. Link: https://www.abc.es/ciencia/abci-todos-animales-desarrollaron-capacidad-galopar-peces-hace-472-millones-anos-202203090118_noticia.html

Yamaha continues on the electric path but looking for a solution to the problem of autonomy: produce hybrid motorcycles that have a gasoline engine Last week, Yamaha presented electrical news. Under the slogan Yamaha Switch On, the brand showed us electric bicycles and scooters, including one whose name we still do not know but it would correspond to a 125 cc scooter. Now, the brand is bringing to light three new hybrid model designs that it has already patented in 2020. But not only Yamaha works on the hybridization of motorcycles. Kawasaki has also been working for some time to be able to offer hybrid models, and an example of this is the official prototype that it presented in 2021 taking the Kawasaki Ninja as a base. In fact, the brand's plan is to offer a completely hybrid and electric catalog in the year 2035. Yamaha, which was a pioneer in this field by presenting the Gen-Ryu and HV-01 in 2005, seeks to follow this same line and be able to offer hybrid engines very soon. Back in 2009 we discovered that they were able to bring this technology to the streets with the HV-X, a hybrid motorcycle presented at the Tokyo Motor Show in Japan that carried the engine of a Majesty 250 on a TMAX 500 chassis. yamaha hybrid In the new designs that Yamaha is working on, we can see that its propulsion system is electric, but that it uses a small gasoline engine as a range generator to recharge the batteries. These three designs would correspond to a 125 scooter model, a maxi-scooter and a motorcycle. In the case of the small scooter, we find the electric motor under the swingarm, the battery under the seat and the gasoline engine in the lower part of the frame. In the case of the maxi-scooter model, similar to a TMAX, we find the gasoline engine ahead of the electric one between the rider's legs, and a conventional rear transmission. Finally, in the case of the motorcycle, we find an electric powertrain where the engine and transmission normally go, and the gasoline engine behind the steering head. Although we still do not know when the hybrid models of Yamaha will begin to appear, the truth is that due to the path that the brand is taking, it may be revealed very soon. Link: https://www.moto1pro.com/actualidad/yamaha-y-sus-motos-hibridas-del-futuro

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Shortages of goods and disruptions in supply chains The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has announced that the war in Ukraine will have a "severe impact" on the economy and warned that world countries with economic ties to Kiev and Moscow are exposed to greater risks. "The current war and the sanctions associated with it will have a severe impact on the global economy," the financial organization said in a statement. The Fund explained that nations with economic ties to Russia and Ukraine are at "special risk" and could be exposed to shortages of goods, as well as disruptions in supply chains. Those countries, moreover, are the ones that are hosting the largest number of refugees from Ukraine, the IMF said. Requests to the entity As a result of these pressures, Moldova has already requested an increase and certain changes to the debt program it has with the IMF and Fund staff are currently discussing different options with the Moldovan authorities, the statement detailed. After the start of the Russian invasion, the Ukrainian government asked the IMF for emergency financial aid worth 1,400 million dollars and, as detailed this Saturday, this issue will be evaluated "at the earliest next week" by the Board of Governors of the Background. The managing director of the institution, Kristalina Georgieva, evaluated Ukraine's request and the possible economic impact of the war during a meeting on Friday. After months of tensions, Russia invaded Ukraine ten days ago and began bombing major cities, causing more than 2,000 civilian deaths, according to provisional figures from the Ukrainian State Emergency Service, and the flight of more than a million people, according to with the UN Refugee Agency (UNHCR). Link: https://www.eleconomista.es/economia/noticias/11651511/03/22/El-FMI-alerta-de-un-impacto-severo-en-la-economia-mundial-por-la-guerra-de-Ucrania.html

At that time, I was already very old. I spent hours, like now, looking out the window. Watching the hustle and bustle of the city go by always entertains me. That morning I saw, like many others, a couple of cats that had been born very close to my house, in a lot just behind. They were brothers and since they were little they always went together. That day they walked aimlessly, probably looking for something to eat, next to the cars. Suddenly, for some reason, you will decide to cross the road. I admit that I was always a little anxious when they did it, in case something bad happened. However, that morning they both crossed at the same time, without any further problem. However, for some reason, one of them had to return. It happened out of regret. He turned around and began to cross the street again. I almost didn't get to see what happened. I heard a sudden stop and saw his body lying, still alive, but dying. I was so sorry. The car didn't even stop. The most surprising thing is that then I saw something that I could never imagine and will never forget. The other cat, seeing his brother lying dying on the road, rushed to help and, grabbing him by the neck, began to pull him, again and again, trying to move him to the sidewalk. In reality, he only succeeded when life left his brother's body and, already inert, he had no resistance. Already on the sidewalk, on the edge of a tree, he let his body rest on the ground and hastily began to lick him. I think I'm trying to wake him up. I don't know very well because, by then, my eyes were covered with tears. After a few minutes, the animal must have realized that all this was useless and, finally, it left there. Over the next few days I looked for him all over the neighborhood, but never saw him again. Several months have passed, but there is no day that they remember that. If they had told me, I never would have believed it. However, since then he has searched, read and found many other similar cases with dogs, cats and even other types of animals. They are testimonies that claim to see the same thing I saw, that cold morning. Actually, an act of pure love from one animal to another. Link: https://www.laopiniondemurcia.es/vida-y-estilo/mascotas/2022/03/06/animales-morir-hermanos-63475339.html

The BMW CE-04 is committed to innovation based on a very characteristic design and a technological arsenal that stands out among all its virtues. The German firm's Motorrad division has taken a further step in an ambitious electrification project that will incorporate a new model every 18/24 months and that in 2025 will begin to electrify its classic versions. The BMW CE-04 is presented under a concept of electric maxi scooter unique in the market. A proposal that stands out for its innovative image. And BMW Motorrad is one of them. In this sense, the front of the CE-04 adopts the master lines of its "brother" in the range, the C400, with a characteristic double optic that gives continuity to a sharp and faired front. In the upper part of it there is a small breeze drift that protects a 10.25-inch TFT digital screen that can be configured to offer the most important information. Its long wheelbase is also a key part of the CE-04's design, as is its totally smooth floating seat available in different versions (Series, Pro and Comfort), with or without backrest and with different measurements depending on the height of the rider. The bobber-style visible rear wheel rounds off a most daring design. The CE-04 is launched under a double "mechanical" proposal; an 11 kW (15 hp) version for A1 meat and a higher 15 kW (20 hp) for A2 permit. Nominal power figures that can reach peaks of up to 23 kW (31 hp) and 31 kW (42 hp), and provide more than remarkable performance and acceleration figures. Both models share a maximum torque of 62 Nm and a speed limited to 120 km/h, with a range of 100 km for the lower power model and 130 km for the superior model. The battery offers a 2.3 kW single-phase charging system as standard or an optional 6.9 kW three-phase charging system with charging times of between three hours and 50 minutes depending on the charger. The BMW CE-04 is available from 12,050 euros. Link: https://neomotor.sport.es/motos/bmw-ce-04-diseno-e-innovacion.html

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Annual growth was driven by progress in the services (4.7%) and industry (4.5%) sectors, while agriculture contracted 0.2%, the IBGE specified. The Brazilian economy, the largest in Latin America, came out of recession by registering an advance of 0.5% in the last quarter of 2021, and grew 4.6% annually compared to 2020, the official statistics institute reported this Friday ( IBGE). “That advance recovered the losses of 2020, when the economy contracted 3.9% due to the pandemic” of coronavirus, the institute reported. Annual growth was driven by progress in the services (4.7%) and industry (4.5%) sectors, while agriculture contracted 0.2%, the IBGE specified. Brazil's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) totaled 8.7 trillion reais (1.61 trillion dollars, at the average exchange rate for 2021). Despite the data, analysts described the current scenario as a combination of stagnation with inflation, associated with high levels of unemployment, just as the country begins a year of internal uncertainties, due to the presidential election, and external ones, derived from the conflict in Ukraine. The data for the fourth quarter "shows the positive effects of the advance in vaccination, which made it possible to resume activities, mainly from the second semester," economist Gilberto Braga, a professor at the IBMEC business university institute in Rio, told AFP. of janeiro. With the advance of 0.5% in the fourth quarter of the year (compared to the previous period), Brazil officially abandons the technical recession in which it had entered after registering two consecutive periods with a negative quarter result: -0.3% in the second of 2021 and - 0.1% in the third. In 2021, consumer prices will rise by more than 10%, the highest annual inflation in six years. "There was an increase in prices for the working po[CENSORED]tion due to the rise in food, mainly, and due to the high prices of fuel, in line with international market prices," Braga explained. To try to stop the incessant advance in prices, the Central Bank of Brazil has gradually raised, since March 2021, the reference interest rate to 10.75% today, despite the impact that this has on the country's growth, of 213 millions of inhabitants. Unemployment, although it has shown signs of recovery after the worst moment of the pandemic, stood at 11.1% in the last quarter, rising to 12 million people. 2022 uncertain For 2022, an election year in Brazil, the market projects an advance of just 0.3% of GDP, according to the latest weekly Focus survey by the Central Bank. The consulting firm Capital Economics for its part excluded that it expects "growth of 0.8% in 2022", projecting Brazil "with the worst performance in the region for this year". "The uncertainties regarding the country's political future bring unpredictability and will delay strategic decisions in the economic area," Braga said. Elections will take place in October, most likely between President Jair Bolsonaro and former president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. In addition, the impact of the conflict in Ukraine and the sanctions against Russia on the world economy is still uncertain. "Agribusiness has been one of the most important areas for the growth of the Brazilian GDP" and "basic products such as oil will be more expensive and raw materials such as wheat and corn will be affected due to the impact (of the war) on the import of fertilizers" from that region, something Brazil depends on, added Braga. For the economist Silvia Matos, coordinator of the Getulio Vargas Foundation's Macro economic projections bulletin (FGV IBRE), Brazil is experiencing a "challenging" moment and will grow around 0.6% this year. Added to the internal context of uncertainty, the international situation "will bring more inflation" and "will reduce (even more) the purchasing power of families, which restricts our growth," Matos points out. In 2020, Brazil's economy shrank less than others in the region thanks to government subsidies paid by the Bolsonaro government to millions of Brazilian economies to deal with the pandemic. Link: https://www.eleconomista.com.mx/economia/Economia-brasilena-salio-de-recesion-y-crecio-4.6-en-2021-20220304-0066.html