rlex Posted May 17, 2021 Posted May 17, 2021 With football news , that of the automobile always reserves its share of surprises. Thus, a recently published study suggests that the electric car should be offered at the same price as the thermal car from 2025. A study that does not take half measures since it affirms that it will be possible to buy an electric car at significantly lower costs than now and without state purchasing aid. But as serious as it is, can we believe in the reliability of such a study? A little update is required ! The electric car: a lower production cost The electric car is revolutionizing the automotive landscape. With the imminent arrival of the Tesla in Europe, the electric vehicle has not had its last word and promises to take center stage in the years to come. However, despite all the advantages of the electric car, it does have one big drawback: its price. Indeed, compared to the thermal car, the electric car remains much more expensive and is clearly not within the reach of all budgets. But good news: there is a good chance that the electric car will become cheaper and cheaper in the years to come. The most optimistic advance the hypothesis that the price of the electric car should approach more and more the price of a thermal car. Indeed, the study carried out by BloombergNEF for the benefit of the NGO Transport & Environment, it would seem that parity between the price of gasoline and electricity should be reached by 2025, or 2027 at most. Less expensive batteries and higher production volume Based on this observation, there is a good chance that electric cars will become less and less expensive in the years to come. In 2025, the price of the electric car should equal that of the thermal in the segment of light commercial vehicles such as Berlingo and Kangoo, for example. For gasoline cars, forecasts announce price parity for the beginning of 2026, while it would be necessary to wait until 2027 for city cars. There are two main reasons for this fall in prices. The first concerns the battery, the production cost of which fell considerably between 2010 and 2020. In fact, in just under 10 years, producing an electric car battery is 89% cheaper! And it is not finished apparently since forecasts announce that the price of the battery should continue to fall in the coming years. We would even talk about a production cost of around 50 euros for the year 2030! The second factor concerns the volume of production. Indeed, if the price of electric cars is balanced, these vehicles will experience strong commercial success. Thus, to meet the growing demand for electric vehicles, manufacturers will be able to afford to lower their prices while reaping significant sales profits. In short, only the near future will tell us whether these forecasts are correct or not, even if there is clearly room for optimism!
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