[Politics] A preview of JD Vance's vice presidency: Loyalty, trust and a 'hammer' for Trump

[Aronus]

In the memoir that made him famous, JD Vance practically apologized for the book’s existence, writing that he had “accomplished nothing great” in his life — “certainly nothing that would justify a complete stranger paying money to read about it.”

Nearly a decade later, Vance, now 40, is the vice president-elect and potential heir to a political movement that has realigned the Republican Party. 

History will remember him for more than “Hillbilly Elegy,” his bestseller that was made into a movie. What for, exactly, depends on the path Vance charts when President-elect Donald Trump returns to the Oval Office — and if it leads to his one day calling that office his own.

Vance, a first-term senator from Ohio, has said little about his vision for the vice presidency other than to mention a few areas of policy interest, like immigration. As a candidate, he stuck faithfully to Trump’s script, filling in the blanks when necessary but rarely overstepping the man whose endorsement lifted him out of a crowded GOP primary in 2022. 

Those who have watched his rapid ascension expect that dynamic to continue, even if and when Vance prepares to run for president in 2028. Allies of Trump and Vance believe loyalty is Vance’s greatest attribute and his smartest play for the short-term future of their administration and for his longer-term political future.

“He will focus on any issues that the president directs him to do,” said a source familiar with the Trump-Vance relationship, who like others, was granted anonymity to share candid observations.

Vance’s unshakeable allegiance to Trump has been his calling card since his well-documented conversion from Trump critic to champion, and their bond tightened as running mates. They speak by phone daily and at all hours. After he voted on Election Day near his home in Cincinnati, Vance told reporters about the 3 a.m. phone call he had missed from Trump a few hours earlier. Trump was headed home from his final campaign rally, but Vance was already asleep.

“There’s a lot of trust between them, so I think they’re going to be able to get a lot done,” said Jordan Wiggins, who managed Vance’s 2022 Senate campaign. “He’s not going to go up there and make it all about him.”

Recent history is filled with tension points between presidents and vice presidents. Al Gore worried that Bill Clinton’s affair with an intern sank his White House bid in 2000. Joe Biden asked to be “the last guy in the room” whenever Barack Obama had a tough decision to make — and angered Obama by speaking out of turn about issues like gay marriage.

Trump, who will be the first president since Grover Cleveland to serve nonconsecutive terms, has his own complicated history.

Former Vice President Mike Pence was, for most of their four years together, a loyal partner who helped smooth Trump’s dealings with establishment Republicans and evangelical conservatives. But Pence split with Trump on Jan. 6, 2021, refusing to interfere with the 2020 election results. That day, egged on by Trump — who at one point accused Pence on social media of lacking “courage” — rioters stormed the U.S. Capitol, some of them chanting, “Hang Mike Pence.” Their relationship ended badly, crushing Pence’s presidential ambitions.

Vance will face a different calculus. Unlike most vice presidents who look toward re-election in four years before they plot their own presidential campaigns, he will have less time to plan than his predecessors did, given that Trump is term-limited under the 22nd Amendment.

“It compresses things,” said Joel Goldstein, a vice presidential scholar and professor emeritus at Saint Louis University. “Instead of having a term to sort of settle in as vice president and, in a sense, benefit from what that office adds as a springboard, people will start going to Iowa and New Hampshire,” the early nominating states.

For Vance, it could be a short but high-launching runway. Despite the success of “Hillbilly Elegy” and nearly two years in the Senate, he is a relative newcomer in the eyes of many voters. His introduction as Trump’s running mate drew attention to some of his more provocative comments, particularly about marriage and motherhood. At one point, polling showed him to be one of the least-liked vice presidential candidates over the last 30 years. 

But Vance’s image improved over time. By Election Day, voters were roughly split between having favorable and unfavorable opinions of him, putting him on par with his Democratic counterpart, Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz, according to NBC News exit polls.

Vance’s team accomplished that, in part, by keeping him visible — and not just in right-wing media spaces. He frequently appeared on Sunday news programs like NBC News' “Meet the Press,” often coming off as polite, if adversarial. The strategy was to defy the perceptions of Vance as an unserious and unreasonable flamethrower. 

 

A preview of JD Vance's vice presidency: Loyalty, trust and a 'hammer' for Trump