[Auto] The production of electric cars will be insufficient to curb global warming

[FNX Magokiler]

This is warned by a report by the InfluenceMap organization, a study center specialized in the relationship between the economic world and the climate crisis.

The efforts of the global automotive industry to migrate to the production of zero-emission vehicles -electric or hydrogen- are far from the goal of limiting global warming as proposed by the Paris Agreement. This was revealed by a recent study by the InfluenceMap organization, a study center specialized in the relationship between the economic world and the climate crisis. The work, they indicated, consisted of crossing IHS Markit (S&P Global) data on automotive production in the world with a 2021 study by the International Energy Agency (IEA) regarding the scenarios to achieve carbon neutrality in 2050. and limit temperature rise to 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels.

While road transport is responsible for almost 20% of CO2 emissions, the IEA calculates that to meet the Paris target, individual zero emission cars (ZEVs) would have to represent 57.5% of total sales in 2030 to reach that year 20% of the total world vehicle fleet, a figure that should reach 86% in 2050. However, the study indicates that last year electric cars only represented 5.9% of sales and hybrids 2.4%.

 

 

The scenario is complicated, indicates the InfluenceMap study, if the automotive production forecasts delivered last March are considered and where it is projected that by 2029 68% of the vehicles manufactured will continue to be internal combustion -including hybrids- compared to 32 % of electric vehicles and 0.1% of hydrogen vehicles. Of the 12 major global manufacturers studied (none of them Chinese), only Tesla, which produces only electric cars, and Mercedes-Benz (56% of ZEV in 2029) are in line with these goals. They are followed by the other large German groups BMW (45%) and Volkswagen (43%).

On the other hand, at the tail of the pack, are the Japanese manufacturers: Nissan (22%), Honda (18%, the data does not include the group's latest announcements regarding ZEVs, the study indicates) and Toyota (14%). The other manufacturers studied are Stellantis (ex PSA-Fiat-Chrysler, 40%), Ford (36%), Renault (31%), General Motors (28%) and Hyundai (27%). The study indicates that electric vehicles must go from 12% of total production in 2021 to 40% in 2029. Across the different market segments, InfluenceMap noted that the continued po[CENSORED]rity of heavier, more energy-consuming SUVs is a factor. which plays against environmental objectives, especially considering that by 2029 they will represent 47% of production, which could "nullify many of the emission reductions associated with the increase in electric vehicles".

 

https://www.emol.com/noticias/Autos/2022/05/18/1061339/autos-electricos-calentamiento-global.html

Edited May 18, 2022 by [Ty]M@g0k1l3r