#CeLTiXxX Posted January 27, 2022 Posted January 27, 2022 The whole world is trying to guess the intentions of Russian President Vladimir Putin in Ukraine. The United States is withdrawing staff from its embassy as fears of possible conflict grow. But one wonders if perhaps it has already started. The risk of an all-out war between Russia and the US dominates the headlines. US Secretary of State Antony Blinken said on Wednesday that his country rejects Russia's demand for a veto of Ukraine's entry into NATO, but added that Russia has been offered "a path diplomat forward". All the obvious questions are being asked. Will Russia attack? Is President Vladimir Putin convinced of war no matter what happens? Or can diplomacy ensure peace? Tanks rolling, rockets flying The answer seems obvious Clearly concentrated Russian tank formations crossing Ukraine's borders, or a massive rocket bombardment or airstrikes against Ukrainian positions would mark a drastic escalation for the crisis and a shift to a new phase of the conflict. The first warnings will come from the Ukrainian military itself, but Western intelligence-gathering aircraft and satellites could warn of preparations for a potential offensive. There will likely be signs of an imminent attack, says Michael Kofman, an expert on Russian military forces at the US Center for Naval Analyses. Among them is "troop training," he says, since much of what has been deployed is heavy equipment rather than the soldiers themselves. Other signs would be "the dispersion of forces, the arrival of logistical and support elements, and a change in fixed and rotary wing aviation." But the question can also be answered in another way and for this we need to step back and see the Russian campaign against Ukraine as a whole. We need to see all the tools that Moscow has available and assess how they are being used. In this light, when you ask "how will we know if the conflict has started?" the question could be that maybe it has already started. Hostilities have been going on for a few years. Provided By : https://www.bbc.com/mundo/noticias-internacional-60136233
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