Love Pulse Posted August 29, 2019 Posted August 29, 2019 1- The collapse of Russia There will be no opposition in Russia against Moscow, but Moscow's declining ability to support and manage the Russian Federation Will leave a tangible space, warns "Stratfor". Who will remain in this vacuum will be individual parts of the Russian Federation. Sanctions, falling oil prices, the drowning of the ruble and rising military expenditures, and increased internal dissent will weaken Russia's central government grip on the world's largest country. Russia will not formally split into small states, but power in Moscow could dissolve to such an extent that Russia effectively becomes a series of semi-autonomous regions that may not even agree with each other. "We expect Moscow's authority to be significantly weakened, which will lead to the formal and informal fragmentation of Russia ... It is unlikely that the Russian Federation will continue in its present form. 2. The United States uses its military to protect nuclear weapons Russia's nuclear weapons infrastructure is spread across a wide geographical area. If Stratfor's prediction of the above political disintegration is to be true, it will mean that weapons, fissile materials, and their means of delivery will be exposed in public and create the most dangerous power vacuum in the world. Exposure of Russian nuclear weapons stockpiles will be "the biggest crisis in the next decade," according to Stratfor. The United States will have to know how to act in such a situation, even if it means sending ground troops to secure deployed weapons, materials, and missiles. "Washington is the only force capable of addressing this issue, but it will not be able to control large numbers of military sites and ensure that no missile is fired in this process," the forecast says. "The United States will have to either invent a military solution that is now unimaginable, accept the threat of indiscriminate rocket fire, or try to create a stable and economically viable government in the areas concerned to neutralize the missiles over time." 3. Germany will suffer from problems Germany has an export-dependent economy that has benefited from continent-wide trade liberalization through the EU and the euro, but this only means that the country has much to lose from the worsening euro crisis and the resulting wave of “Euroscepticism” - the anti-EU campaign. The country's domestic consumption cannot compensate for this decline in the German export economy or the expected decline in the po[CENSORED]tion. The result will be like Japan's recession. "We expect Germany to suffer severe economic setbacks in the next decade," Stratfor reported. 4. Poland will be one of Europe's leaders We look a little east of Germany, and things won't be that bad. "At the center of economic growth and increasing political influence will be Poland," the report says. Poland's po[CENSORED]tion will not fall much like those of other major European economies. The fact that it is the largest and most prosperous European country on Russia's western border will strengthen its access to the position of regional leadership from which it can benefit to strengthen political and economic prestige. This forecast also supports Poland's current situation with the United States of close and long-term strategic partnership. 5. Europe will be divided into 4 parts Not long after European unity seemed to be an irreplaceable historical force, with political and economic barriers being resolved and regional and nationalism disappearing from the continent's political life. But in 10 years, all this may seem like a distant memory. The forecast for the next decade speaks of "four Europeans", four sections that will increasingly alienate one another: Western Europe, Eastern Europe, Scandinavia, and the British Isles. They will have to participate in the same neighborhood, but they will not be as closely connected as before. "The European Union may remain alive in some sense, but European economic, political and military relations will be governed primarily by limited or bilateral bilateral or multilateral relations, and will be small in scope and not binding," Stratfor said. The EU has made enormous adjustments, but this will not define Europe. ”
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